List of Publications related to the DROUGHT-HEAT project
2019
Large influence of soil moisture on long-term terrestrial carbon uptake , by Green, J.K., S.I. Seneviratne , A.M. Berg, K.L. Findell, S. Hagemann, D.M. Lawrence, P. Gentine, 2019, Nature , 565:7740, 476-479, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0848-x.
Potential of global land water recycling to mitigate local temperature extremes , by Hauser, M., W. Thiery, S.I. Seneviratne , 2019, Earth System Dynamics , 10:1, 157-169, doi: 10.5194/esd-10-157-2019.
Observed Trends in Global Indicators of Mean and Extreme Streamflow , by Gudmundsson, L. , M. Leonard, H.X. Do, S. Westra, S.I. Seneviratne , 2019, Geophysical Research Letters , 46:2, 756-766, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079725.
Soil Moisture Effects on Afternoon Precipitation Occurrence in Current Climate Models , by Moon, H. , B.P. Guillod, L. Gudmundsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2019, Geophysical Research Letters , 46:3, 1861-1869, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080879.
Observational Constraints Recline Likelihood of Extreme Changes in Multidecadal Land Water Availability , by Padron, R.S., L. Gudmundsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2019, Geophysical Research Letters , 46:2, 736-744, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080521.
Drought impacts on terrestrial primary production underestimated by satellite monitoring , by Stocker, B.D., J. Zscheischler, T.F. Keenan, I.C. Prentice, S.I. Seneviratne , J. Penuelas, 2019, Nature Geoscience , 12:4, 264-+, doi: 10.1038/s41561-019-0318-6.
2018
Changes in climate extremes over West and Central Africa at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming , by Diedhiou, A., A. Bichet, R. Wartenburger , S.I. Seneviratne , D.P. Rowell, M.B. Sylla, I. Diallo, S. Todzo, N.E. Toure, M. Camara, B.N. Ngatchah, N.A. Kane, L. Tall, F. Affholder, 2018, Environmental Research Letters , 13:6, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac3e5.
Biogeophysical Impacts of Land‐Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low‐Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI‐Land , by Hirsch, A.L. , B.P. Guillod, S.I. Seneviratne , U. Beyerle, L.R. Boysen, V. Brovkin, E.L. Davin, J.C. Doelman, H. Kim, D.M. Mitchell, T. Nitta, H. Shiogama, S. Sparrow, E. Stehfest, D.P. van Vuuren and S. Wilson, 2018, Earth's Future , 6:3, 396-409, doi: 10.1002/2017EF000744.
Modelled biophysical impacts of conservation agriculture on local climates , by Hirsch, A.L. , R. Prestele, E.L. Davin, S.I. Seneviratne , W. Thiery, P.H. Verburg, 2018, Global Change Biology , 24:10, 4758-4774, doi: 10.1111/gcb.14362.
Sensitivity of atmospheric CO2 growth rate to observed changes in terrestrial water storage , by Humphrey, V. J. Zscheischler, P. Ciais, L. Gudmundsson , S. Sitch, S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Nature , 560:7720, 628-631 doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0424-4.
Historical deforestation locally increased the intensity of hot days in northern mid-latitudes , by Lejeune, Q., E.L. Davin, L. Gudmundsson , J. Winckler and S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Nature Climate Change , 8, 386–390, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0131-z.
Drought Persistence Errors in Global Climate Models , by Moon, H. , L. Gudmundsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , doi: 10.1002/2017JD027577.
A theoretical approach to assess soil moisture-climate coupling across CMIP5 and GLACE-CMIP5 experiments , by Schwingshackl, C. , M. Hirschi , S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Earth System Dynamics , 9:4, 1217-1234, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-1217-2018.
Global Contributions of Incoming Radiation and Land Surface Conditions to Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature Variability and Trend , by Schwingshackl, C. , M. Hirschi , S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Geophysical Research Letters , 45:10, 5034-5044, doi: 10.1029/2018GL077794.
Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C , by Seneviratne, S.I. , R. Wartenburger , B.P. Guillod, A.L. Hirsch , M.M. Vogel , V. Brovkin, D.P. van Vuuren, N. Schaller, L. Boysen, K.V. Calvin, J. Doelman, P. Greve, P. Havlik, F. Humpenöder, T. Krisztin, D. Mitchell, A. Popp, K. Riahi, J. Rogelj, C-F. Schleussner, J. Sillmann, E. Stehfest, 2018, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A , 376:2119, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0450.
Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation , by Seneviratne, S.I. , S.J. Philipps, A.J. Pitman, A.L. Hirsch, E.L. Davin, M.G. Donat, M. Hirschi , A. Lenton, M. Wilhelm and B. Kravitz, 2018, Nature Geoscience , 11, 88-96, doi: 10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5.
The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement's aim of 1.5 degrees C warming , by Seneviratne, S.I. , J. Rogelj, R. Seferian, R. Wartenburger , M.R. Allen, M. Cain, R.J. Millar, K.L. Ebi, N. Ellis, O. Hoegh-Guldberg, A.J. Payne, C.F. Schleussner, P. Tschakert, R.F. Warren, 2018, Nature , 558:7708, 41-49, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0181-4.
Quantifying soil moisture impacts on light use efficiency across biomes , by Stocker, B.D., J. Zscheischler, T.F. Keenan, I.C. Prentice, J. Penuelas, S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, New Phytologist , 218:4, 1430-1449, doi: 10.1111/nph.15123.
Varying soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks explain divergent temperature extremes and precipitation projections in central Europe , by Vogel, M.M. , J. Zscheischler, S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Earth System Dynamics , 9:3, 1107-1125, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018.
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a - Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets , by Wartenburger, R. , S.I. Seneviratne , M. Hirschi , J. Chang, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, S.N. Gosling, L. Gudmundsson , A-J. Henrot, T. Hickler, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, G. Leng, J. Liu, X. Liu, Y. Masaki, C. Morfopoulos, C. Müller, H.M. Schmied, K. Nishina, R. Orth, Y. Pokhrel, T.A.M. Pugh, Y. Satoh, S. Schaphoff, E. Schmid, J. Sheffield, T. Stacke, J. Steinkamp, Q. Tang, W. Thiery, Y. Wada, X. Wang, G.P. Weedon, H. Yang, T. Zhou, 2018, Environmental Research Letters , 13:7, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4bb.
Assessing the Dynamic Versus Thermodynamic Origin of Climate Model Biases , by Wehrli, K. , B.P. Guillod, M. Hauser, M. Leclair , S.I. Seneviratne , 2018, Geophysical Research Letters , 45:16, 8471-8479, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079220.
Future climate risk from compound events , by Zscheischler, J., S. Westra, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, S.I. Seneviratne , P.J. Ward, A. Pitman, A. AghaKouchak, D.N. Bresch, M. Leonard, T. Wahl and X. Zhang, 2018, Nature Climate Change , 8, 469-477, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3.
2017
Regional warming of hot extremes accelerated by surface energy fluxes , by Donat, M.G., A.J. Pitman, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Geophysical Research Letters , 44:13, 7011-7019, doi: 10.1002/2017GL073733.
Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought , by Hauser, M., L. Gudmunsson , A. Jézéquel, K. Haustein, R. Vautard, G.J. van Oldenborgh, L. Wilcox, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Earth’s Future , 5, doi: 10.1002/2017EF000612.
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions with prescribed soil moisture experiments: an assessment with the Community Earth System Model (version 1.2) , by Hauser, M., R. Orth, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Geoscientific Model Development, 10:4, 1665-1677, doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-1665-2017.
Can climate-effective land management reduce regional warming? , by Hirsch, A.L. , M. Wilhelm, E.L. Davin , W. Thiery, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , 122:4, doi: 10.1002/2016JD026125.
Basin-scale water-balance dataset (BSWB): an update , by Hirschi, M. , S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Earth System Science Data 9, 251-258, doi:10.5194/essd-9-251-2017.
A global reconstruction of climate-driven subdecadal water storage variability , by Humphrey, V. , L. Gudmunsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Geophysical Research Letters, 44:5, doi: 10.1002/2017GL072564.
Historical Land-Cover Change Impacts on Climate: Comparative Assessment of LUCID and CMIP5 Multimodel Experiments , by Lejeune, Q., S.I. Seneviratne , E.L. Davin , 2017, Journal of Climate , 30, 1439-1459, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0213.1
Hydrological and biogeochemical constraints on terrestrial carbon cycle feedbacks , by Mystakidis, S., S.I. Seneviratne , N. Gruber, E.L. Davin , 2017, Environmental Research Letters , 12:1, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/014009.
A drought event composite analysis using satellite remote-sensing based soil moisture , by Nicolai-Shaw, N., J. Zscheischler, M. Hirschi , L. Gudmundsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Remote Sensing of Environment 203, 216-225, doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2017.06.014.
Variability of Soil Moisture and Sea Surface Temperatures Similarly Important for Warm-Season Land Climate in the Community Earth System Model , by Orth, R., S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Journal of Climate , 30:6, 2141-2162, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0567.1.
Large-Scale Controls of the Surface Water Balance Over Land: Insights From a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis , by Padron, R.S., L. Gudmundsson , P. Greve, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Water Resources Research , 53:11, 9659-9678, doi: 10.1002/2017WR021215.
Quantifying spatio-temporal variations of soil moisture control on surface energy balance and near-surface air temperature , by Schwingshackl, C. , M. Hirschi , S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Journal of Climate , doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0727.1.
Refining multi-model projections of temperature extremes by evaluation against land-atmosphere coupling diagnostics , by Sippel, S., J. Zscheischler, M.D. Mahecha, R. Orth, M. Reichstein, M.M. Vogel , S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Earth System Dynamics, 8, 387-403, doi: 10.5194/esd-8-387-2017.
Regional amplification of projected changes in extreme temperatures strongly controlled by soil moisture-temperature feedbacks , by Vogel, M.M. , R. Orth, F. Cheruy, S. Hagemann, R. Lorenz, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Geophysical Research Letters, 44:3, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071235.
Changes in regional climate extremes as a function of global mean temperature: an interactive plotting framework , by Wartenburger, R. , M. Hirschi , M.G. Donat, P. Greve, A.J. Pitman, S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Geoscientific Model Development, 10:9, 3609-3634, doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-3609-2017.
Dependence of drivers affects risks associated with compound events , by Zscheischler, J., S.I. Seneviratne , 2017, Science Advances, 3:6, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1700263.
2016
Anthropogenic climate change affects meteorological drought risk in Europe , by Gudmunsson, L. , S.I. Seneviratne , 2016, Environmental Research Letters, 11:4, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044005.
Observation-based gridded runoff estimates for Europe (E-RUN version 1.1) , by Gudmunsson, L. , S.I. Seneviratne , 2016, Earth System Science Data , 8, 279-295, doi: 10.5194/essd-8-279-2016.
Assessing Global Water Storage Variability from GRACE: Trends, Seasonal Cycle, Subseasonal Anomalies and Extremes , by Humphrey, V. , L. Gudmunsson , S.I. Seneviratne , 2016, Surveys in Geophysics , 37:2, 357-395, doi: 10.1007/s10712-016-9367-1.
Record dry summer in 2015 challenges precipitation projections in Central Europe , by Orth, R., J. Zscheischler, S.I. Seneviratne , 2016, Scientific Reports 6, 28334, doi: 10.1038/srep28334.
Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets , by Seneviratne, S.I. , M. Donat, A.J. Pitman, R. Knutti, R.L. Wilby, 2016, Nature , 529, 477-483, doi: 10.1038/nature16542.
2015
Assessment of future changes in water availability and aridity , by Greve, P., S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Geophysical Research Letters , 42:13, 5493-5499, doi: 10.1002/2015GL064127.
Towards observation-based gridded runoff estimates for Europe , by Gudmunsson, L. , S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 2859-2879, doi: 10.5194/hess-19-2859-2015.
Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall , by Guillod, B.P. , B. Orlowsky, D.G. Miralles, A.J. Teuling, S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Nature Communications , 6:7443, doi: 10.1038/ncomms7443.
Introduction of a simple-model-based land surface dataset for Europe , by Orth, R., S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Environmental Research Letters , 10:4, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044012.
Impact of soil moisture on extreme maximum temperatures in Europe , by Whan, K., J. Zscheischler, R. Orth, M. Shongwe, M. Rahimi, E.O. Asara, S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Weather and Climate Extremes , 9, 57-67, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2015.05.001.
Climate engineering of vegetated land for hot extremes mitigation: An Earth system model sensitivity study , by Wilhelm, M., E.L. Davin , S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Journal of Geophysical Research , 120:7, 2612-2623, doi: 10.1002/2014JD022293.
A submonthly database for detecting changes in vegetation-atmosphere coupling , by Zscheischler, J., R. Orth, S.I. Seneviratne , 2015, Geophysical Research Letters, 42:22, doi: 10.1002/2015GL066563.